Sara Eisen (Co-anchor) 00:00.150
despite pressure from the administration a rough start to the year biotech has seen a rebound this year our next guest is betting that that recovery will continue into twenty twenty six so joining us now salvin richter she is the lead US biotech analyst at goldman sachs research
Sara Eisen (Co-anchor) 00:14.150
and salvin it's great to have you on the show welcome
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 00:16.830
thank you for having me
Sara Eisen (Co-anchor) 00:17.830
what's interesting to me is that these names of these you know these stocks of these pharma companies that did ink this deal with the president just today all traded higher despite the fact that they're bringing prices down in line globally why why did we see that trade go that
Sara Eisen (Co-anchor) 00:33.870
way
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 00:34.710
i think it's because it's an overhang removed for the group that was essentially trading lower ahead of the uncertainty of what would play out and now that we have the certainty you can price it accordingly as needed for these companies and also in some cases by bringing ex US
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 00:51.270
prices in line with US prices there's added upside for some of the revenue potential here
Sara Eisen (Co-anchor) 00:56.670
are we going to see more of these types of deals get struck because they've been kind of coming out increments
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 01:01.990
i believe there's a couple left from the original group that that plan to strike a deal with with the administration and then we should see that filter down into smaller biotechs and pharma companies and and you know we look to seeing all of this playing out on trump RX as we as
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 01:20.910
we look to twenty twenty six
Sara Eisen (Co-anchor) 01:22.310
that reports crossing and continuing to cross even in this hour that RFK is poised to make some changes to the vaccine schedule for childhood vaccines you also had moderna just today popping up nine percent on funding for for a bird flu vaccine how do you navigate that piece of
Sara Eisen (Co-anchor) 01:40.470
the market
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 01:42.430
i think there's some uncertainty on the side of the vaccine businesses and we will look at a company like moderna while they do have have a respiratory vaccine business they also have a cancer vaccine business and we'll look to some of that play out next year but i think we are
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 01:58.870
you know what we really have right now in in biopharma is we had a trifecta that played out we had after almost three years of negative earnings revisions that stabilized of anything you're starting to see potential upside for this group as you head to twenty twenty six you also
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 02:14.670
had the drug pricing overhang which now with these agreements being signed with the trump administration you know allows these companies to kind of work because you understand you have certainty around their business models and we've had a bit of a rotation away from the
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 02:30.430
dominant AI trade and so as we look to these companies they can now start to a work around their business models for twenty twenty six but i think also you we you will see a second derivative trade which is that of M and A that plays out broadly for the group and you know while
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 02:48.190
i think as you just pointed out we still kind of don't fully understand how certain parts of the regulatory frame may work maybe with regard to vaccines i think that have been somewhat appreciated in the stocks of some of these companies
Sara Eisen (Co-anchor) 02:59.590
all right so in light of all of that what are your picks for twenty twenty six
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 03:02.910
so on the large cap side i think we're looking at amgen and regeneron here to have upside on numbers but the laggard trade on the large cap side would be and on the the smid cap side we're watching some of the innovation trades but even more broadly and we're looking at
Salveen Richter (Lead US Biotechnology Analyst) 03:19.390
cardiovascular disease to the evolution of the obesity trade as well as the evolution of of i and i and obviously M and A to be some of the big themes that play out next year as well as as cancer cancer is going to be a key focus